Sehr interessanter Artikel über die Geschwindigkeit der Akzeptanz bei Elektroautos.
In Europe, we see early majority buyers in a number of market segments. Late majority buyers will appear in 2022, and laggards will start buying BEVs in 2023. Not in all market segments, but in enough to have an influence.
Fleet conversion will still probably take 20–25 years, since used car buyers will convert later and for a while will have the choice between very cheap used fossil fuel vehicles or higher priced battery electrics. Even at a 100% market share for BEVs, new cars replace only 4% of the fleet each year.
But the bigger, more immediate issue is the new-car market. How are new-car buyers going to spend their hard-earned money in the coming few years? Do they buy a fossil fuel vehicle and get ridiculed by family, friends, and colleagues? Or do they buy the cheaper and better product with a battery and no tailpipe?
Charging will not be a problem. Installing a home charger in a driveway or garage is about 2% of the price of the car. Curbside chargers are between 5% to 10%. With demand and public pressure, they will appear like mushrooms in the fall.